日期: 2008/07/04 15:53

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">　　北京时间</span><span lang="EN-US">7</span><span style="font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">月</span><span lang="EN-US">3</span><span style="font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">日消息，欧洲央行周四将基准利率上调至七年高点，以抑制欧元区通胀水平的增长。</span><span lang="EN-US"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><span style="font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">欧洲央行管理委员会在今天的法兰克福会议上决定升息</span><span lang="EN-US">25</span><span style="font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">个基点，至</span><span lang="EN-US">4.25%</span><span style="font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">，符合此前大多数经济学家的预期。央行理事称，他们担心，欧元区</span><span lang="EN-US">16</span><span style="font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">年来上升速度最快的通胀水平将发展为工资和物价的螺旋式上升，原因是公司员工正要求提高薪资以弥补物价的上涨。</span><span lang="EN-US"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><span style="font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">现在欧洲央行面临的风险是，升息决定将令欧元区经济面临更深的滑坡。法国和西班牙此前表示，欧洲央行可能对增长前景没有足够的关注。</span><span lang="EN-US"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><span style="font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">欧洲央行行长特里谢将于法兰克福时间</span><span lang="EN-US">14:30</span><span style="font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">召开新闻发布会，就这一决定作出解释。市场注意力集中在该行是否将采取更多升息措施的问题上。</span><span lang="EN-US"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><span style="font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">美林驻伦敦的首席欧洲经济学家克劳斯·巴德尔称：“过去一个月中，通胀前景已严重恶化。”特里谢将为进一步的升息“留有余地”。</span><span lang="EN-US"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><span style="font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">据</span><span lang="EN-US">Eonia</span><span style="font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">掉期合约显示，投资者一直认为，到今年年底为止，欧洲央行将再升息</span><span lang="EN-US">25</span><span style="font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">个基点，至</span><span lang="EN-US">4.5%</span><span style="font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">；大多数认为，到明年</span><span lang="EN-US">3</span><span style="font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">月份以前该行将第三次升息。</span><span lang="EN-US"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><span style="font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">从俄罗斯到巴西的各国央行都在采取升息措施，原因是通胀已经取代信贷紧缩状况成为其最担心的事情。印尼央行今天第三次升息，瑞典央行将基准利率上调至</span><span lang="EN-US">12</span><span style="font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">年高点。</span><span lang="EN-US"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><span style="font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">特里谢昨天表示：“如果我们不够坚决，就将面临通胀爆发的风险。”</span><span lang="EN-US"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><span style="font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">创纪录的粮食和能源价格已将欧元区通胀水平推高至</span><span lang="EN-US">4%</span><span style="font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">，是欧洲央行</span><span lang="EN-US">2%</span><span style="font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">目标水平的两倍。</span><span lang="EN-US">5</span><span style="font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">月份生产者物价指数</span><span lang="EN-US">(PPI)</span><span style="font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">同比上升</span><span lang="EN-US">7.1%</span><span style="font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">，创下历史最高涨幅。原油价格过去一年中已经上涨了一倍还强，今天首次突破每桶</span><span lang="EN-US">145</span><span style="font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">美元，助燃了通胀担忧。</span><span lang="EN-US"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><span style="font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">但是，通胀的上升令消费者购买力下降，经济增长前景因此愈加黯淡。特里谢</span><span lang="EN-US">6</span><span style="font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">月份曾表示，部分央行理事反对升息。</span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US"><p> </p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'times new roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'times new roman'">来源：新浪财经</span></p>

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