人民日报记者 强薇
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图为林毅夫日前接受人民日报记者专访。全亚军摄
全国政协委员、北京大学国家发展研究院名誉院长、著名经济学家林毅夫在接受人民日报采访时表示， 2017年政府工作报告最大的亮点是展现出了一种信心，相信政府工作报告中提到的6.5%左右的这个增速目标能达到。
林毅夫表示，虽然中国当前面临着不少来自国际和国内的挑战，但正如政府工作报告中所讲，中国人民有勇气、有智慧、有能力来应对挑战，中国经济有潜力、有优势、有韧性，相信政府工作报告中提到的6.5%左右增速这个目标能达到。他说，达到这个目标的意义在于，“我们是世界上发展最快的国家之一，每年对世界经济增长贡献超过30%”。
图为人民日报林毅夫专访视频截图。
林毅夫曾在2012年提及，中国自2008年开始，有20年平均每年增长8%的潜力。然而面对近几年的经济“减速”，不少人对他当年的表态提出了质疑。对此林毅夫表示，潜力和实际增长会有差距，正如同一种树木也会有高有低，面对阳光、养分等条件，“条件好的就把潜力发挥出来了，条件不好的长得就会低”。
“因为经济增长需要靠劳动力生产水平的不断提高，而这需要技术的创新、产业的升级。中国作为中等发达国家，和发达国家还有不少差距，因此在技术创新、产业升级上具有后发优势。而其他一些和中国处在同样发展阶段、同样具有后发优势的国家，在20年间实现了每年8%—9%的增长，因此说中国也有可能。”林毅夫解释说，但由于2008年国际金融危机爆发以来受阻于世界经济复苏缓慢，中国的经济增长潜力未完全释放。
林毅夫表示，他的判断都是基于对问题本质的分析而来。他说，大多数人是悲观派，有人说我是乐观派，但实际上我是客观派。
去年12月，在吉隆坡举行的“北京大学博雅论坛”上，林毅夫围绕“一带一路”战略做主题演讲。图片来源：北京大学国家发展研究院网站
China has capability to realize 6.5% growth in 2017: economist
By Qiang Wei from People’s Daily
A biggest highlight of China’s 2017 government work report is to declare the country’s confidence in its economy, a renowned economist told the People’s Daily, believing that China has the ability to realize the growth target set in the report.
Justin Yifu Lin, member of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference, said that though quite a number of international and domestic challenges still lay ahead China’s economy, the around 6.5 percent target is attainable.
“The Chinese people have the courage, ingenuity, and ability to overcome any difficulty or hardship, and the Chinese economy possesses potential, resilience, and strengths,” he gave the reasons behind the conclusion by citing the words of the report.
“China is the fastest growing economy in the world, and contributes over 30 percent to world economic expansion each year,” he commented on the significance of growth.
Lin predicted in 2012 that China has the potential to keep growing at 8 percent for 20 years starting from 2008. His forecast was doubted by some after China slowed down its economic growth in recent years.
Lin, also Honorary Dean at the National School of Development at Peking University, explained that there must be difference between potential and reality, citing the trees as an example.
Even belonging to the same species, some trees well-nourished will tap their full potential and grow taller than their peers, the economist elaborated.
Economic growth rely on continuous increase of labor productivity driven by technology innovation and industrial upgrade, but China lags behind the developed nations in this subject, Lin pointed out.
“As a medium developed country, China has its own advantages as latecomer. Some latecomers in similar conditions indeed posted an annual 8 percent to 9 percent growth in 20 years. So China has the possibility to realize the growth,” the scholar continued.
“But obstructed by a weak recovery of world economy since the outbreak of financial crisis in 2008, the growth potential of China is not fully leveraged,” Lin added.
He said that his judgment was based on analysis of essential factors. “Most people are pessimists, so someone described me as an optimist. But I in fact belong to an objective faction,” Lin added.
Pics:
Justin Yifu Lin gives interview to the People’s Daily. （Photo by Quan Yajun）
A screenshot of Justin Yifu Lin when giving exclusive interview to the People’s Daily
Photo taken in December, 2016 shows Justin Yifu Lin delivering a speech themed with “Belt and Road” initiative at a forum held in Kuala Lumpur. (Photo source: National School of Development at Peking University)